The U.S. loses World War III, fast and repeatedly, in RAND Corporation war games, according to a source. But is this WWIII outcome real, or just more fear mongering meant to benefit military contractors at federal budget time?
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U.S. Loses WWIII: Real War Games, or Military Contractors Fear Mongering
The U.S. loses World War III, fast and repeatedly, in RAND Corporation war games, according to a source. But is this WWIII outcome real, or just more fear mongering meant to benefit military contractors at federal budget time?
13 replies on “U.S. Loses WWIII: Real War Games, or Military Contractors Fear Mongering”
WHOA!!!
I believe you’ve misinterpreted Admiral Yamamoto’s letter and other comments.
Earlier in his career, he spent time in the U.S. and was recognized to be the naval officer with the best understanding of us.
His quote about winning the war by marching on Washington and dictating terms of peace in the White House was correct, that’s what it would have taken! Ironic comment, though, because he knew that would never happen.
He had no faith that Japan would actually win the war. He was the planner for the initial attacks in the Pacific, but he had advised against them.
As to war games… Having participated in my share of them as an Infantry officer; the computer models are very much ‘garbage in, garbage out.’
Unfortunately, much of more GIGO consists of orders from superiors that got my ‘troops’ killed. Repeatedly.
(Never underestimate the power of human stupidity. Robert Heinlein.)
I think it’s unlikely that we’d lose to any one of our adversaries BUT, that doesn’t mean we’d win, either. We have a rotten history of winning the war and losing the peace.
What’s that old saying?
No plan survives contact with the enemy.
I’m guessing that RAND’s simulations would meet the same fate.
Eisenhower’s take was more subtle and on-point: “I’ve found plans to be useless but planning to be invaluable.”
Everybody has a plan until they get punched in the face.
A great line from the movie “The Devil’s Disciple” to consider…
General John Burgoyne: Take it quietly, Major Swindon: your friend the British soldier can stand up to anything except the British War Office.
The Spruance was the destroyer my dad served on as a SONAR man in WWII.
LOL, that’s what I get for typing out my comment before Scott finished. You guys always cover all the bases, Amazing to watch.
The problem with the war games is that they focus on hardware and capabilities. Wars are not won by hardware, wars are won by what drives the hardware. Game strategy cannot anticipate the escalation of the unwavering courage causing dynamically modified combat tactics and advanced strategies. Regardless of what you might think that the military has become it is still the most professional system, best trained and well prepared people in the history of the world.
https://cdn.shopify.com/s/files/1/0394/9549/products/Special-Forces-Wood-Flag-2.jpg?v=1448210918
A simulation picks the inputs the outputs, and the weights of all the factors. Since all of these factors and weights they are pulling out of their ass, the end result is similar to the end product that comes out of the same place they pull those factors and weights from.
It seems to me the biggest problem our military has is having to get permission from some lawyer before shooting at the enemy.
“They” picked the program, “they” picked the programmers, “they” selected the goal, “they” chose to ignore over 200 years of American history, thus “they” chose the outcome of the simulation. “They” are the one’s who lost WWIII BY CHOICE!
A simulation is not and cannot match reality except for a very few limited cases. Just because a “computer said so” does not mean it has any bases in reality.
Why then are we to listen to “them” playing let’s pretend?
The ONLY reason is that we have lost the ability to think critically about what “they” say and are gullible enough to accept “their” pretense as real.
I have been a software engineer for over 50 years. I have written many simulations that actually do work based upon actual testing in the real world. Simulation cannot predict the weather with any degree of accuracy beyond a few days. This is also true of war game simulations. Chaos, individual choice and action, and unknown unknowns will rule the outcome. This cannot be simulated.
Russia, like Sony, is coasting on brand recognition. Anyone paying attention knows that the Russians have ZERO power projection capability. The mighty Soviet military is gone. Not just that, the infrastucture to build it, is gone. And finally, the economy and experience to create that infrastructure is gone. The Russians I am not worried about in the 21st century.
They are capable of biting, when cornered, and their sense of revenge is well-honed.
https://billwhittlecom.wpengine.com/2019/03/14/russians-stroking-their-own-egos/
They have several times the number of nuclear weapons than the US, and unlike those in the US their nukes are up-to-date gear. Shockingly, they have not felt the need to be constrained by international treaties against nuclear weapons development. They’re still a real threat.